Based on its own history, a month from now BTC has typically landed between −20.2% and +25.3%.iRanges only — crypto's monthly direction has not proven calibratable in our validation harness (2026-07-25), so we publish no directional probability for it. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-01-06 | −59.6% | −59.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-11 | −52.7% | −52.7% | +1.0% |
| 2018-01-07 | −52.5% | −57.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2017-11-12 | +201.2% | +0.0% | +201.2% |
| 2017-11-11 | +166.1% | −7.3% | +174.0% |
| 2017-11-13 | +155.4% | +0.0% | +171.3% |
3,250 overlapping windows · 2017-08-01 – 2026-07-24 · not cherry-picked
Logged immutably 2026-07-25 04:11:41 UTC; scored 2026-08-23.
Seasonality · by month
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Earnings & context analysis
These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. Full terms.