Based on its own history, a month from now GOOGL has typically landed between −11.7% and +15.1%.
actual price median path middle 50% (IQR) 90% range
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,648 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-07-24. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-20 | −29.6% | −29.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −29.1% | −29.1% | +0.7% |
| 2020-02-21 | −28.9% | −28.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-31 | +33.8% | +0.0% | +33.8% |
| 2011-06-24 | +31.1% | +0.0% | +31.1% |
| 2026-04-07 | +30.3% | +0.0% | +30.3% |
4,648 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-07-24 · not cherry-picked
FundamentalsiAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$3.9T
market cap
$19.91
EPS (TTM)
16.1
P/E (TTM)
2026-11-04
next earnings
Revenue$403.0B
'20'25
Net income$132.2B
'20'25
Free cash flow$73.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr32.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr31.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.14
'20'25
Fair value — three views
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 17 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$126.13
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.0× · n=17$319.09
- Analyst target · range $350.00–$475.00$420.00
- Current price$319.74
Seasonality · by month
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
78%
+3.0%
n=18
Feb
42%
−1.8%
n=19
Mar
53%
−0.1%
n=19
Apr
58%
+4.4%
n=19
May
63%
+2.7%
n=19
Jun
37%
−1.7%
n=19
Jul
79%
+6.1%
n=19
Aug
50%
+0.2%
n=18
Sep
56%
+0.3%
n=18
Oct
67%
+4.6%
n=18
Nov
67%
+1.1%
n=18
Dec
72%
+2.0%
n=18
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Company insiders
Last 90 days · as of 2026-07-22 · point-in-time by filing date
Conviction purchases (open-market common)none
Insider open-market sales35 · $4.2M
What was excluded from the conviction count, and why
56 award/RSU grants, 45 option exercises, 29 tax-withholding dispositions and 17 gifts excluded — these carry no conviction information.
Congressional disclosuresiDisclosures shown as facts. In our data, weeks with clustered congressional buying showed no forward edge (−17 bp/mo, n=1,683) — this is not a signal to trade on. See /methodology.
As of 2026-07-22 · point-in-time by filed date
All disclosed trades (broad sample)baseline forward return +1.97%/mo · n=826,150 ticker-weeks
≥2-distinct-buyer clusters (subset)+1.80%/mo · n=1,683 → −17 bp/mo vs baseline — no forward edge
The spec's illustrative “+46 bp/mo (n=38,134)” cluster tilt is not reproduced in our data (audition-log 2026-07-25) — so we publish the measured figures above, not that number.
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Newhouse | House | sale | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-10 | $1–15K |
| Thomas H. Kean Jr | House | sale | 2026-07-15 | 2026-06-02 | $1–15K |
| Thomas H. Kean Jr | House | sale | 2026-07-15 | 2026-06-24 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-07-06 | 2026-05-16 | $1–15K |
| Matthew Robert Van Epps | House | sale | 2026-06-17 | 2026-06-16 | $1–15K |
| David J. Taylor | House | purchase | 2026-06-12 | 2026-06-05 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2026-06-10 | 2026-05-06 | $15–50K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-06-08 | 2026-05-05 | $1–15K |
| David J. Taylor | House | sale | 2026-05-28 | 2026-05-15 | $15–50K |
| David J. Taylor | House | sale | 2026-05-28 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Elizabeth Fletcher | House | sale | 2026-05-01 | 2026-04-08 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-30 | $15–50K |
| Thomas H. Kean Jr | House | sale | 2026-03-18 | 2026-02-05 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2026-03-10 | 2026-02-04 | $15–50K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. Full terms.